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This page tracks every NFL game with player prop clearances, expected value odds, matchup breakdowns, and daily fantasy projections. Odds are pulled from eight US sportsbooks — DraftKings, FanDuel, Pinnacle, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fliff, and Fanatics — plus three prediction markets and exchanges: Polymarket, Kalshi, and Novig — and refreshed every five minutes, so the EV percentages and best-available prices reflect the current market. All for free.
Prop clearance rates show how often each player has actually cleared his line — passing yards, rushing yards, receptions, receiving yards, and touchdowns — over the full season and the last 30 days, alongside opponent matchup rankings and player stat medians. Every bet links directly to the sportsbook offering the best price, and deep links at DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, and BetRivers pre-fill your bet slip automatically.
A prop clearance rate is the percentage of games in which a player has exceeded a specific stat line. If a receiver's receiving yards line is 62.5 and he has cleared it in 12 of 17 games, his clearance rate is 71%. We show clearance rates for the full season and the last 30 days so you can spot recent trends.
We estimate each bet's true probability by devigging sharp market odds — Pinnacle when available, the median across all eight books otherwise — then compare that fair probability against each sportsbook's actual price. A positive EV% means a book is offering better than fair value on that bet. To keep the board honest, we also apply automatic odds filters: long-shot markets are excluded, because a tiny gap between books on a low-probability bet produces a misleadingly large EV%, and outlier EV values that usually signal a stale or mispriced line are capped. What remains is the range where positive EV is real and repeatable.
DraftKings, FanDuel, Pinnacle, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fliff, and Fanatics. For every NFL market we show each book's odds, the market median, and the best available price with a direct link to the bet. EV bets also include three prediction markets and exchanges: Polymarket, Kalshi, and Novig.
Yes. NFL expected value bets include prediction markets and exchanges — Polymarket, Kalshi, and Novig — alongside the eight sportsbooks, so you can see when an exchange is offering better value than any book. Exchange odds refresh every five minutes, the same cadence as sportsbook odds.
Opp Allowed on the clearance cards is what the opponent gives up per game for that stat, matched to the time period and flipped to the location shown — a player's home split is compared against what that defense allows on the road. #1 means the defense allows the most, the friendliest matchup for the player, and columns like “vs TE” show only the production given up to the player's position. On the DFS cards, Share weights each scored stat by its DraftKings or FanDuel point value to show where a player's fantasy production comes from; matchup ranks there follow the same rule — #1 is most favorable — except interceptions, which rank by fewest forced.
Every five minutes throughout the NFL season, so lines, EV percentages, and data stay current as the market moves.
The Kelly Criterion is a bankroll management formula that sizes bets based on your edge. Enter your bankroll on the odds tables and we calculate a recommended stake for every +EV bet, using fractional Kelly scaled to the confidence of each probability estimate.